Each day, one of our experts at Bet.NOLA.com will offer up a best bet (or two or three) that mobile sportsbooks in Louisiana are offering. It might be a traditional spread bet, a player prop or one of the various odds boosts that books offer.
Here are the best bets for Sunday, May 22:
The bet: Mavericks-Warriors Parlay: Mavs win and point total under hits
The line: Mavs -2.5 and Under 218 points (+233, $ 10.30 to win $ 24)
The book: FanDuel
Time / TV: 8 pm (TNT)
Our take: The Golden State Warriors are in complete control of the series after going up 2-0 following their dominant second half in Game 2, but they showed some first half struggles.
The Dallas Mavericks have been lights out at home, holding a record of 5-1 at home in the 2022 NBA Playoffs. Their average margin of victory in those wins at home is 11.2, a little skewed by their blowout of the Phoenix Suns in game 6 of the Western Conference Semifinals.
In their two previous game three’s, the Mavericks won by eight and nine respectively; following that trend, they should comfortably cover the 2.5 point spread. As for the under hitting in this game, a lower scoring game favors the Mavericks, especially with the frenetic pace the Warriors play with.
Luka Doncic and the Mavs role players will find a way to push the Warriors to a game 5. If their series against the Suns told us anything, this Mavericks team has too much fight and star power in Doncic to go down 3-0.
EPL’S FINAL DAY
The play: Son Heung-min to score a goal and at least two goals
The odds: -125 to score a goal ($ 12.50 to win $ 10); +360 to score 2+ goals ($ 5 to win $ 18)
The book: FanDuel
Time / TV: 10 am (SyFy)
Our take: The final day of the English Premier League almost always brings drama, with all 10 games starting at the same time.
This year, Manchester City needs to equal or better Liverpool’s result to clinch the title, and the same for Burnley – it must equal or better Leeds’ result to avoid dropping down a league in the relegation battle.
The third race ongoing is for fourth place, which translates into the final spot in next season’s Champions League.
That’s where our bet comes in. Tottenham needs a win against Norwich City to clinch fourth place over Arsenal. Norwich is in last place, has already clinched relegation and has won one league game since January. Tottenham is a -430 favorite.
Expect Son Heung-min, the terrific South Korean striker, to get plenty of chances at goal. He’s scored 21 goals this year, trailing Liverpool’s Mo Salah by one even though he hasn’t taken a single penalty kick all season. In fact, if the game gets out of hand – certainly plausible – and Tottenham gets a penalty, they might even let Son take it instead of superstar Harry Kane, just to help him beat Salah for the Golden Boot.
In other words, we’re laying the -125 juice on Heung-min to score at least once and also taking a shot at +360 for him to score at least two. (If you’re feeling really greedy and a bit lucky, a hat-trick is +1400.)
HOW WE’VE FARED
Saturday’s best bets
PGA Championship: Cam Smith better third round than Viktor Hovland (WON $ 30)
MLB: Red Sox over Mariners and Astros over Rangers (WON 13.30)
Saturday’s profit / loss: $ 43.30 (2-0)
Total for the week: $ 4.70 (7-5, 1 pending)
Total for May: + $ 141 (26-22, 1 pending)
Total for 2022: $ 21.10 (126-135, 1 pending)
NOTE: If a line or odds are minus, it means that side is favored and a bettor must pay extra to win. Ex: Team A is -160 on the money line, one would have to bet $ 160 to win $ 100 (or $ 16 to win $ 10). OR Team B is a 5-point favorite at -110, one would have to bet $ 110 to win $ 100 (or $ 11 to win $ 10.)
Conversely, on positive lines, if Team C is +140 on the money line, a $ 100 would bring in $ 140 (or $ 10 to win $ 14).